NBA

Toronto Raptors vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Finals Game 6 Pick

The Toronto Raptors try to close out the Golden State Warriors in Game 6 and win their first NBA Championship.

Thursday, June 13 at 9:00 PM ET

ORACLE Arena

Coverage: ABC

The Warriors were able to survive Game 5 with an epic 106-105 win on Monday night. Kevin Durant returned and scored 11 points and was 3-for-3 from 3-point range in 12 minutes before going down again with 9:46 left in the second quarter.

Durant headed straight back to the locker room and didn't return after re-injuring his right leg but Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson refused to see their season end.

The Raptors had control of the game late in the fourth quarter but big 3-pointers from Curry and Thompson turned the tide in their favor. Long range shots saved the Warriors in Game 5, as they were 20-for-42 from beyond the arc (47.6 percent).

Curry led the way with 31 points, eight rebounds and seven assists despite going just 10-for-23 from the field and 5-for-14 from 3-point range, Klay Thompson had 26 points and six rebounds on 7-for-13 from beyond the arc and DeMarcus Cousins stepped up, adding 14 points and six rebounds in 20 minutes off the bench after Durant left the game.

Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson have each made at least five 3-pointers in the same NBA Finals game four times. No other duo in NBA history has more than one such game.

Kawhi Leonard had 26 points and 12 rebounds for the Raptors but he was just 9-for-24 from the field and 2-for-7 from beyond the arc. Kyle Lowry finished with 18 points and six assists and Marc Gasol had 17 points and eight rebounds but Pascal Siakam (12 points) and Danny Green (four points) didn't show up and the Raptors need much more from them on Thursday.

NBA Trends:

The Toronto Raptors are:

7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning percentage above .600

7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a winning straight up record

7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games overall

7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game

7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

6-1 ATS in their last seven games when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game

4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Golden State

4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings

The Golden State Warriors are:

16-33-3 ATS in their last 52 games against Atlantic Division opponents

2-6 ATS in their last eight home games against a team with a winning road record

5-16 ATS in their last 21 Thursday games

1-4 ATS in their last five home games

The Warriors made 12 more 3-pointers than the Raptors in Game 5, the second biggest 3-point differential in NBA Finals history. The Raptors just couldn't close the game when they had to and shooting 8-for-32 (25.0 percent) from distance didn't help.

In addition to KD being out for the rest of the series, Kevon Looney reaggravated his right 1st costal cartilage non-displaced fracture injury and didn't return.

Looney (plus-2.2 Defensive Box Plus/Minus in the playoffs) believes he will be able to play in Game 6 but he won't be 100 percent. I have to go with the Raptors again, they missed 24 3-pointers and still lost by just one point and they've played better on the road in this series. The underdog is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings and the road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.

NBA Pick: Raptors +130 at Jazz Sports

Check odds here: http://bit.ly/jazzonaff

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