Surging San Diego Padres Can Beat Washington Nationals

The red-hot San Diego Padres open a three-game series against the reeling Washington Nationals. The Padres have won three straight games while the Nationals have lost two of their last three.

Friday, April 26 at 7:05 PM ET

Nationals Park

Coverage: MLB Network


Becoming clear and windy

Winds from the WNW 32 km/h

Gusts: 52 km/h

Nationals shortstop Trea Turner is on the injured list with a finger injury and star third baseman Anthony Rendon, who leads the team hitting .371 with six home runs, 18 RBIs and a .451 OBP, has missed the last four games after getting hit by a pitch in the left arm and his status for tonight is questionable.

The Padres are on a roll behind rookie phenom shortstop Fernando Tatis, Jr., star third baseman Manny Machado and outfielder Wil Myers, who is 4-for-13 with two home runs and a double against tonight's starter Max Scherzer. Myers is also off to a solid start this season, hitting .286 with five home runs and 11 RBI. Manny Machado, on the other hand, is 3-for-28 (.107) with 13 strikeouts against Scherzer.

Pitching Matchup:

Matt Strahm (0-2, 3.05 ERA, 1.16 WHIP) vs. Max Scherzer (1-3, 4.45 ERA, 1.24 WHIP)

Matt Strahm has been a pleasant surprise and he threw eight strong innings of one-run ball to get a no-decision in last Friday's 3-2 loss against the Reds. The 27-year-old will make his first start against the Nationals. He's 0-1 with a 15.43 ERA and a 3.33 WHIP in two relief appearances against them, both last season.

Nationals ace Max Scherzer injured his rib cage with a foul ball last weekend in Miami and he's still expected to make this start despite dealing with a left intercostal muscle strain. Scherzer struggled against the Marlins last Saturday, allowing seven runs (six earned) on 11 hits (one home run) with nine strikeouts and no walks in a 9-3 loss.

The right-hander is 3-2 with a 2.34 ERA and an 0.95 WHIP in nine career starts against the Padres, recording 85 strikeouts and 18 walks in 57 2/3 innings.

MLB Trends:

The San Diego Padres are:

11-2 in their last 13 games following an off day

5-1 in their last six games following a win

8-3 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series

The Washington Nationals are:

2-5 in their last seven home games against a team with a road winning percentage above .600

7-25 in their last 32 when their opponent scores two runs or less in their previous game

3-13 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series

1-5 in their last six games against a left-handed starter

0-8 in their last eight games following an off day

0-7 in their last seven Friday games

1-4 in Scherzer's last five home starts

1-4 in Scherzer's last five starts

The current Padres lineup has a .576 OPS against Scherzer in their careers and they've struck out 34.1 percent of the time but he has career-worsts with a 4.45 ERA and a .395 BABIP (Batting Average on Ball in Play) and I like San Diego at this price.

MLB Pick: Padres +164 at Jazz Sports

Check odds here:

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