Pitching Won't Dominate When Rangers Visit Angels

The Texas Rangers continue their four-game series with the Los Angeles Angels on Friday night.

Friday, April 5 at 10:07 PM ET

Angel Stadium of Anaheim


Mainly cloudy

Winds from the SW 7 km/h

Gusts: 15 km/h

Coverage: MLB Network

The Rangers won Thursday's series opener 11-4 after taking a 5-0 lead in the first inning thanks to a Joey Gallo three-run home run and a Ronald Guzman two-run shot.

The Rangers are off to a surprising 5-2 start and their offense has a lot to do with it, as they're third in the majors with 45 runs scored, eighth with a .257 batting average, sixth with a .356 on base percentage, sixth with a .478 slugging percentage and fifth with 12 home runs.

Pitching is a whole different story, they have a poor 5.29 ERA (24th in the majors) and a 1.73 WHIP (29th). The 1-6 Angels are not much better, posting a 4.81 ERA (22nd) and a 1.34 WHIP (19th) and their offense is really struggling, scoring just 17 runs (24th) with a .186 batting average (.186) and just three home runs (24th).

Pitching Matchup:

Lance Lynn (0-0, 11.12 ERA, 1.76 WHIP) vs. Felix Pena (0-1, 9.82 ERA, 1.36 WHIP)

Lance Lynn will make his second start of the season after lasting 5 2/3 innings against the Cubs last Sunday, when he gave up seven earned runs and 10 hits (one home run) with five strikeouts and no walks to get a no-decision in an 11-10 win. Lynn is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a 1.57 WHIP in 16 2/3 innings over three career starts against the Angels.

Felix Pena allowed four earned runs on four hits (one home run) with three strikeouts and a walk over 3 2/3 innings in a 4-2 loss against the Athletics last Saturday. Pena lacked consistency last season, going 3-5 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP in 19 games (17 starts) but he pitched well against the Rangers, going 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP in 13 innings over two starts last year.

MLB Trends:

The Over is:

8-2 in Texas' last 10 games following a win

7-2 in Texas' last nine games against a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30

9-4 in Texas' last 13 games when their opponent allows five runs or more in their previous game

7-3 in Texas' last 10 games against a team with a winning percentage below .400

5-2 in Los Angeles' last seven home games against a right-handed starter

15-5-1 in Larry Vanover's last 21 games behind home plate against the Angels

Lynn and Pena struggled in their first starts of the season and both have been very inconsistent throughout their careers, so you never know what you are going to get from them. The Rangers have hit the ball well so far and it's only a matter of time before the Angels' bats wake up and this is the perfect night for that.

MLB Pick: Over 8.5 (-115) at Jazz Sports

Check odds here:

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