Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Free NBA Pick

Thursday, March 21 at 10:30 PM ET


Coverage: NBA League Pass

The Indiana Pacers try to avoid an 0-4 road trip when they visit the Golden State Warriors on Thursday.

Recent Takeaways

Pacers last game:

Pacers 109, Clippers 115 on Tuesday

Top performers:

Bojan Bogdanovic: 19 points and five rebounds

Tyreke Evans: 19 points, eight rebounds and seven assists off the bench

Doug McDermott: 17 points off the bench

Key stats:

The Pacers went 7-for-21 (33.3 percent) from 3-point range

The Pacers turned the ball over 20 times

Fast break points: Pacers 8, Clippers 19

Warriors last game: Warriors 117, Timberwolves 107 on Tuesday

Top performers:

Stephen Curry: 36 points and five assists (8-for-14 from beyond the arc)

Klay Thompson: 28 points and four assists (4-for-10 from beyond the arc)

Jonas Jerebko: 18 points off the bench

Kevin Durant 17 points and nine assists

Key stats:

The Warriors went 19-for-42 from 3-point range (45.2 percent)

Points in the paint: Warriors 34, Timberwolves 40

NBA Trends:

The Indiana Pacers are:

11-5 ATS in their last 16 games against Pacific Division opponents

The Golden State Warriors are:

5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall

4-11 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game

4-12 ATS in their last 16 games when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game

6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games

3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team with a losing road record

1-5 ATS in their last six games following an ATS win

2-14 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games

1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win

These two teams met on January 28 and the Warriors crushed the Pacers 128-100 behind 26 points from Stephen Curry (23 in the first half). DeMarcus Cousins, who will return tonight, had 22 points, six rebounds and four assists in the win. Golden State outrebounded Indiana 48-38 and outscored them 60-42 in the paint.

If the Pacers want to at least be competitive, Myles Turner and Thaddeus Young have to dominate the paint, they can't let the Warriors win the rebounding battle, particularly when defending, as it can lead to second chances from beyond the arc.

Indiana also has to step up their 3-point defense, especially at the start of the game. Doug McDermott is a capable 3-point shooter, he's making 50.0 percent of his 3-pointers in the last 10 games and he had a big night against the Clippers. McDermott has to replicate that performance and shoot well from beyond the arc to keep the Pacers in this contest.

NBA Pick: Pacers +11 (-110) at Jazz Sports

Check odds here:

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