Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots NFL Divisional Round Pick

Sunday, January 13 at 1:05 PM ET

Gillette Stadium



Winds from the NE 10 mph

Gusts: 22 mph

Coverage: CBS

Philip Rivers is 0-7 in his career against Tom Brady but his Chargers have a strong road record this season. Can Rivers break through against Brady? We will know the answer on Sunday afternoon, after the Chargers play the Patriots in an NFL Divisional Round game at Gillette Stadium.


Rivers to finally take down Brady?
Rivers is 0-4 at Foxborough since becoming a starter in 2006 and 0-7 in seven games with Tom Brady as the opposing starting quarterback, posting a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 7:10 and his only win against the Patriots in his 13 years as the starting quarterback for the Chargers came on October 12, 2008, when Matt Cassel replaced Brady, who suffered a season-ending knee injury in Week 1.

The Patriots have won their last seven games in the divisional round and five of those victories were by 13 or more points and the 27-20 win against the Chiefs in 2015 would have been by 14 points if not for a garbage-time touchdown in the final minutes.


Tough test for the Patriots
New England's average margin of victory in those seven games was 17 points, so it's clear that they faced little resistance but this year can be different, the Chargers are the most complete team the Patriots will play at this stage of the playoffs in the last eight years. Los Angeles went 12-4, the best record by a New England divisional round opponent since the Texans in 2012 and only the Saints and the Rams won more games than them during the regular season.

The Chargers have played incredibly well on the road, going 9-1 with wins in Seattle, Kansas City, Denver, Pittsburgh, London (against the Titans) and at Baltimore on Sunday's 23-17 upset win in the wild card round against the Ravens. They've been particularly solid outside of Los Angeles (9-0 including their home game in London) while posting a 4-4 record in Los Angeles (three home losses, one road loss against the Rams).

NFL Trends:

The Los Angeles Chargers are:

4-0 ATS in their last four road games against a team with a winning home record

5-1 ATS in their last six playoff road games

5-1 ATS in their last six games after accumulating less than 90 rushing yards in their previous game

5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games in January

4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a winning record

7-2 ATS in their last nine playoff games

6-2 ATS in their last eight games on fieldturf

The New England Patriots are:

No key trends

The Chargers boast talented playmakers on both sides of the ball. Rivers leads an offense that features dual-threat running backs Melvin Gordon and Austin Ekeler, wide receivers Keenan Allen, Tyrell Williams and Mike Williams, legendary tight end Antonio Gates and the potential season debut of fellow tight end Hunter Henry, who has been out all year with a torn ACL.

Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, who had three combined sacks against the Ravens, form an elite pass-rushing duo in front of a secondary that features cornerback Desmond King and rookie safety Derwin James and two-time Pro Bowl cornerback Casey Hayward.

The Baltimore defense showed up in a big way against Los Angeles and while the New England defense is good, it's not nearly as dominating as what the Chargers faced last Sunday and they will do a lot more damage than what they did in that game.

NFL Pick: Chargers +4 (-110) at Jazz Sports

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