Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans Monday Night Football Pick

Monday, November 26 at 8:15 PM ET
NRG Stadium
Mainly clear; chilly
Winds from the N 6 mph
Gusts: 9 mph
Coverage: ESPN
The Houston Texans try to get one step closer to securing the AFC South title when they host the Tennessee Titans on Monday Night Football. The Texans lost the first meeting against the Titans this season, 20-17 in Week 2, but things are very different now, with Houston in the middle of a seven-game winning streak while Tennessee is 5-5, trying to close the gap with them. 
Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans were crushed by the Indianapolis Colts 38-10 on November 18. Marcus Mariota leaving the game with an injured right elbow in the final minute of the first half didn't help. He completed 10 of 13 passes for 85 yards and one interception before his injury and Blaine Gabbert completed 11 of 16 passes for 118 yards, one touchdown and one interception after replacing him but the Titans allowed five sacks and gave up a season-high point total.
The Titans are averaging 183.7 passing yards (30th in the NFL) and 111.7 rushing yards (19th). Tennessee ranks 29th with 17.8 points per game and 2nd with 18.9 points against. Marcus Mariota has passed for 1,583 yards, seven touchdowns and six interceptions, Dion Lewis has 420 rushing yards and one touchdown on 122 carries and Corey Davis has 45 receptions for 606 yards and two touchdowns. Wesley Woodyard has 65 tackles and Jayon Brown has 4.5 sacks.
Houston Texans
A Justin Reid 101-yard interception return touchdown helped the Texans overcome a mistake-prone Deshaun Watson and beat the Redskins 23-21 on November 18, tying the franchise record with their seventh consecutive win. Watson completed 16 of 24 passes for 208 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions, DeAndre Hopkins caught five passes for 56 receiving yards and one touchdown and Lamar Miller ran for 86 yards on 20 carries.
The Texans are averaging 242.1 passing yards (15th in the NFL) and 122.1 rushing yards (10th). Houston ranks 17th with 23.9 points per game and 6th with 20.5 points against. Deshaun Watson has passed for 2,597 yards, 18 touchdowns and nine interceptions, Lamar Miller has 611 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 145 carries and DeAndre Hopkins has 68 receptions for 950 yards and eight touchdowns. Benardrick McKinney has 70 tackles and J.J. Watt has 10 sacks.
NFL Trends:
The Tennessee Titans are:
5-11-2 ATS in their last 18 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game
5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games in November
3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 12
5-15 ATS in their last 20 games on fieldturf
4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 meetings
0-4 ATS in their last four meetings in Houston
The Houston Texans are:
4-1 ATS in their last five games against AFC opponents
The home team is 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings and the favorite is 7-2 ATS in their last nine meetings. The Texans are outplaying the Titans in the first half this season, especially lately, averaging 15.7 points per game before halftime in their last three games, while the Titans average 13.7 points per game and they've also been better on defense starting their games in that span, allowing just 9.0 points per game while the Titans allow 16.0 points per game.
NFL Pick: Texans 1st half -3 (-105) at Jazz Sports
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