Kansas City Chiefs vs. Los Angeles Rams Monday Night Football Over-Under Pick

Monday, November 19 at 8:15 PM ET

Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum


Patchy clouds

Winds from the E 4 mph

Gusts: 6 mph

Coverage: ESPN

The Kansas City Chiefs battle the Los Angeles Rams in the most anticipated game of the regular season. This contest was going to be played at Estadio Azteca in Mexico City but the field was in horrible condition after concerts and soccer games, so the NFL deemed it unplayable Tuesday and moved it to Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum.


Kansas City Chiefs
The Kansas City Chiefs have won their last four games, including last Sunday's 26-14 victory against the Arizona Cardinals. Patrick Mahomes completed 21 of 28 passes for 249 yards and two touchdown passes to Tyreek Hill. Mahomes' second TD strike was his 31st and it helped him pass Hall of Famer Len Dawson for the single-season touchdown record with six games to play. Hill made seven receptions for 117 yards, Kareem Hunt ran for 71 yards and the defense came up with five sacks and two interceptions.

The Chiefs are averaging 305.5 passing yards (4th in the NFL) and 117.6 rushing yards (13th). Kansas City ranks 2nd with 35.3 points per game and 16th with 24.0 points against. Patrick Mahomes has passed for 3,150 yards, 31 touchdowns and seven interceptions, Kareem Hunt has 754 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 167 carries and Tyreek Hill has 55 receptions for 891 yards and nine touchdowns. Anthony Hitchens has 80 tackles and Dee Ford has nine sacks.


Los Angeles Rams
Brandin Cooks ran for a 9-yard touchdown on the first snap after Dante Fowler forced and recovered a Russell Wilson fumble with 5:49 left to help the Rams bounce back from their first loss of the season with a 36-31 win against the Seahawks last Sunday. Jared Goff completed 28 of 39 passes for 318 yards and two touchdowns and Cooks also made 10 receptions for 100 yards. Todd Gurley ran for 120 yards and one touchdown on 16 carries and now he has an NFL-best 17 touchdowns to extend his franchise-record of 13 straight games with a score.

The Rams are averaging 303.2 passing yards (5th in the NFL) and 144.8 rushing yards (2nd). Los Angeles ranks 3rd with 33.5 points per game and 12th with 23.1 points against. Jared Goff has passed for 3,134 yards, 22 touchdowns and six interceptions, Todd Gurley II has 988 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns on 198 carries and Brandin Cooks has 51 receptions for 857 yards and three touchdowns. Cory Littleton has 83 tackles and Aaron Donald has 12.5 sacks.

NFL Trends:

The Over is:

6-1 in Kansas City's last seven road games

4-1 in Kansas City's last five road games against a team with a winning home record

7-1 in Los Angeles' last eight games after accumulating more than 250 passing yards in their previous game

6-1 in Los Angeles' last seven games after allowing less than 150 passing yards in their previous game

4-1 in Los Angeles' last five games against a team with a winning record

11-5 in Los Angeles' last 16 games following an ATS loss

21-10 in Los Angeles' last 31 home games against a team with a winning road record

This is a potential Super Bowl LIII preview with a high total. The Over/Under for this exciting clash opened at 64, the highest since 1986 according to ESPN Stats & Information. The Chiefs rank second in the NFL, averaging 35.3 points per game while the Rams are third at 33.5 and both teams are 9-1, tied for the best record in the league. There's been 11 games with a total of 57.5 or higher since 2003 and all of them have gone Over, with three of those taking place this season.

The total is extremely high but these are two high-scoring teams that haven't proved they can be stopped and I expect to see two elite offenses trading blows, just like what happened in Kansas City's 43-40 loss at New England in Week 6.

NFL Pick: Over 63 (-110) at Jazz Sports

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