No. 10 UCF Knights vs. East Carolina Pirates Free College Football Pick

Saturday, October 20 at 7:00 PM ET

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium


Partly cloudy

The UCF Knights try to stay undefeated when they visit the East Carolina Pirates at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium on Saturday night.


Central Florida Knights
McKenzie Milton completed 17 of 29 passes for 296 yards and one touchdown and ran for the go-ahead score in the fourth quarter to help UCF earn a 31-30 come-from-behind win over Memphis in their first significant test of the season last Saturday.

UCF was down 30-14 with 2:04 left in the first half but they outscored Memphis 14-0 in the second half. Taj McGowan finished with 81 rushing yards and two touchdowns on four carries and Gabriel Davis made six receptions for 128 yards and one touchdown.

The Knights are averaging 303.5 passing yards (18th in the nation) and 252.0 rushing yards (11th). Central Florida ranks 7th with 45.7 points per game and 27th with 19.5 points against. McKenzie Milton has passed for 1797 yards, 16 touchdowns and four interceptions, Adrian Killins Jr. has 385 rushing yards and four touchdowns on 76 carries and Gabriel Davis has 33 receptions for 493 yards and five touchdowns.


East Carolina Pirates
East Carolina has lost two straight games, including last Saturday's 42-20 home setback against Houston. The Cougars led 14-0 before the midway mark of the first quarter and the Pirates didn't reach the end zone until 5:15 left to play.

Reid Herring completed 26 of 42 passes for 229 yards and two interceptions and Holton Ahlers was 11 of 18 for 137 yards and one touchdown and he added 45 yards and one touchdown on the ground. Trevon Brown caught 13 passes for 153 receiving yards and a touchdown.

The Pirates are averaging 277.8 passing yards (28th in the nation) and 123.3 rushing yards (114th). East Carolina ranks 109th with 23.3 points per game and 100th with 32.2 points against. Reid Herring has passed for 1502 yards, six touchdowns and seven interceptions, Holton Ahlers has 248 rushing yards and five touchdowns on 38 carries and Trevon Brown has 36 receptions for 500 yards and three touchdowns.


College Football Trends:

The UCF Knights are:

6-1 ATS in their last seven games on grass

7-2 ATS in their last nine games against a team with a losing record

17-5-1 ATS in their last 23 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game

4-1 ATS in the last five meetings with East Carolina

The East Carolina Pirates are:

16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games after accumulating more than 280 passing yards in their previous game

7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss

14-36-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall

7-27-1 ATS in their last 35 conference games

2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game

1-5 ATS in their last six home games against a team with a winning road record

1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home

There's a significant talent disparity in this game and it will be hard for East Carolina to overcome it and keep things close. UCF likes to run up the score and senior linebacker Pat Jasinski will come back this week after missing significant time against Memphis with an ankle injury.

College Football Pick: UCF -22 (-110) at Jazz Sports

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