Los Angeles Rams vs. Denver Broncos Free NFL Pick

Sunday, October 14 at 4:05 PM ET
Broncos Stadium at Mile High

Snow, 1-3"; much colder


The undefeated Los Angeles Rams visit the Denver Broncos in a can't-miss contest at Broncos Stadium at Mile High. This will be the first meeting between these two teams since the 2014 season, when the Rams won 22-7.

Los Angeles Rams 
The Los Angeles Rams escaped Seattle with a 33-31 road win last Sunday. Jared Goff had a productive game, completing 23 of 32 passes for 321 yards and one touchdown but he did throw two interceptions. Goff has now passed over 300 yards in his last four games. Todd Gurley II ran for 77 yards and three touchdowns on 22 carries and he added 36 receiving yards on four catches. Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp both suffered a concussion last week and they're questionable for this game. Kupp still managed to make six receptions for 98 yards.  
The Rams are averaging 337.2 passing yards (2nd in the NFL) and 131.2 rushing yards (7th). Los Angeles ranks 3rd with 34.6 points per game and 7th with 19.6 points against. Jared Goff has passed for 1727 yards, 12 touchdowns and four interceptions, Todd Gurley II has 415 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on 101 carries and Brandin Cooks has 26 receptions for 452 yards and one touchdown. Cory Littleton has 43 tackles and Ndamukong Suh has three sacks.
Denver Broncos
The Denver Broncos are really struggling, losing their last three games, including last Sunday's contest against the Jets. Isaiah Crowell ran for a franchise-record 219 yards, including a 77-yard touchdown to help New York beat Denver 34-16. Case Keenum completed 35 for 51 passes for 377 yards and two touchdowns but he fumbled twice and threw an interception. Phillip Lindsay played well and finished with 65 rushing yards on 12 carries and Demaryius Thomas caught five passes for 105 receiving yards and one touchdown.
The Broncos are averaging 256.8 passing yards (18th in the NFL) and 137.0 rushing yards (3rd). Denver ranks 26th with 20.0 points per game and 22nd with 26.2 points against. Case Keenum has passed for 1365 yards, five touchdowns and seven interceptions, Phillip Lindsay has 328 rushing yards and one touchdown on 57 carries and Emmanuel Sanders has 33 receptions for 386 yards and one touchdown. Todd Davis has 34 tackles and Von Miller has four sacks.
NFL Trends:
The Los Angeles Rams are:
2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up win
4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game
3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
The Denver Broncos are: 
9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game
11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game
I like the Broncos and the points here, they've played well in their three home games, beating the Seahawks and the Raiders and suffering a close 27-23 loss to the unbeaten Chiefs. The Denver running game has been effective, ranking third in the NFL with 137.0 rushing yards per game and Los Angeles has been below average stopping the run, conceding 106.8 rushing yards per game (19th in the league).
The Rams barely beat the Seahawks 33-31 in Seattle last week and Denver is another tough place to play in. Top wide receivers Brandin Cooks and Cooper Kupp are both questionable with a concussion and Los Angeles has given up 31 points in back-to-back games, so Denver can keep this game close at home. 
NFL Pick: Broncos +6.5 (-110) at Jazz Sports

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