2018 FIFA World Cup Russia Top Goalscorer Odds

6/12/2018 5:56:00 PM

The 2018 FIFA World Cup starts next Thursday when Russia and Saudi Arabia clash in the opening game on June 14th at 11:00 AM ET.

This year the maximum number of games that teams will play is seven, three in the group stage, one each in the round of 16, quarterfinals, semifinals and either the final or the third place game. Keep this in mind because if you are betting on someone to be the top goalscorer in the World Cup, it should because you believe that his team will make a run to the semifinals.

Of course there are exceptions to this system, the latest example took place in the 2014 World Cup in Brazil, when James Rodriguez of Colombia scored six goals in just five games. The only other time that a player won the Golden Boot with that few games was in 1986.

If you start considering that teams must reach the semifinals for a player to have a chance at being the top goalscorer, then this method eliminates someone like Cristiano Ronaldo (+1100), arguably one of the best players in the world. CR7 is a prolific scorer but Portugal won't likely reach the semifinals and he has struggled in past World Cups, scoring three goals in 13 games over three tournaments (one on each).

Neymar (+900) will be fully healthy and Brazil is one of the teams favored to win the World Cup, so their chances of going far are high and Neymar's +900 odds make sense, but Brazil has many talented players on offense and they might take away from him.

Lionel Messi (+800) has the best odds to win the Golden Boot at +800 but expecting him to score all of Argentina's goals is not realistic, as players like Sergio Aguero (+2200), Paulo Dybala (+3000) and Gonzalo Higuain (+3000) need to step up if Argentina wants to make a deep run. That said, I like Argentina to at least reach the semifinals, which will maximize the number of games that Messi will play and also keep in mind that if two or more players finish with the same number of goals scored, the tiebreaker will be the number of assists, giving Messi an edge.

Below are the latest betting odds for top goalscorer of the 2018 FIFA World Cup Russia at Jazz Sportsbook.

Lionel Messi +800

Neymar +900

Antoine Griezmann +1100

Cristiano Ronaldo +1100

Gabriel Jesus +1500

Harry Kane +1400

Timo Werner +1400

Romelu Lukaku +1400

Robert Lewandowski +2200

Luis Suarez +2200

Sergio Aguero +2200

Thomas Muller +2200

Edinson Cavani +2200

Kylian Mbappé +2800

Diego Costa +3000

Radamel Falcao +3000

Paulo Dybala +3000

Gonzalo Higuain +3000

Olivier Giroud +3000

Isco +3500

Eden Hazard +3500

Alexandre Lacazette +3500

Miguel Andre Silva +3500

Mario Mandzukic +4500

Field (any other) +1800

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ