Dodgers vs. Rockies MLB Picks: Value Spot Betting the Under

8/9/2018 9:29:00 AM

Thursday, August 9 at 8:40 PM ET

Coors Field

Clear 73°F

Wind: 1mph

Out to L

The Los Angeles Dodgers open a key four-game series with the Colorado Rockies. The Dodgers trail the Diamondbacks in the National League West by half a game while the Rockies are three games behind first place.

 

Stripling comes off the disabled list
Ross Stripling (8-3, 2.68 ERA, 1.13 WHIP) was on the disabled list with a inflamed toe on his right foot. He was stellar in May and June but he struggled through July, posting a 4.73 ERA in five starts. Stripling is approaching the most innings he's thrown in his professional career and he has already surpassed his major league career-high with 104 innings this season.

The right-hander didn't have a good month last July but he refused to give in to walks, recording 30 strikeouts and surrendering just five walks for a 6/1 strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB). Overall he has 119 strikeouts against 15 walks for a 7.93 strikeout-to-walk ratio (K/BB) in 104 innings across 27 appearances (16 starts).

The Dodgers have scored 543 runs (7th in the majors), putting up 4.72 runs per game (9th), hitting .242 (21st) with 156 home runs (4th). Los Angeles ranks 3rd with a 3.51 ERA, 2nd with a 1.18 WHIP and 4th with 1092 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranks 12th with a 3.80 ERA. Max Muncy leads the Dodgers with 24 home runs, Yasmani Grandal has 20 home runs and 57 RBI and Cody Bellinger has 18 home runs and 51 RBI.

 

Anderson lasts just four innings against the Brewers
Tyler Anderson (6-4, 4.05 ERA, 1.21 WHIP) allowed seven earned runs on seven hits (three home runs) and three walks with four strikeouts across four innings in an 8-4 loss against the Brewers last Saturday. Anderson entered the game with a solid 3.69 ERA and he had not given up more than five earned runs in a start since his season debut on March 30. The left-hander is winless since July 4 but he has a 3.65 ERA in 11 home starts and opponents are hitting just .231 in 131 innings across 23 starts this season.

The Rockies have scored 534 runs (9th in the majors), putting up 4.68 runs per game (10th), hitting .254 (9th) with 145 home runs (10th). Colorado ranks 23rd with a 4.60 ERA, 20th with a 1.35 WHIP and 16th with 967 strikeouts. Their bullpen ranks 28th with a 5.09 ERA. Nolan Arenado leads the Rockies with a .304 batting average, 29 home runs, 81 RBI, a .388 OBP and 125 hits, Trevor Story has 24 home runs and 79 RBI and Charlie Blackmon has 21 home runs and 49 RBI.

MLB Trends:

The Under is:

33-16-2 in Los Angeles' last 51 games against a left-handed starter

7-1 in Stripling's last eight road starts

11-2 in Stripling's last 13 starts against National League West opponents

22-8-2 in Stripling's last 32 starts overall

19-7-1 in Colorado's last 27 home games against a team with a winning road record

11-5 in Colorado's last 16 games against National League West opponents

12-3-1 in Anderson's last 16 home starts against a team with a winning record

The Rockies have been involved in many low-scoring games lately and this one should be no different. Ross Stripling has a 2.88 ERA in 10 career appearances (three starts) against the Rockies while Tyler Anderson has pitched well at home, posting a 1.31 ERA in his last four starts at Coors Field.

MLB Picks: Under 10.5 (-115) at Jazz Sportsbook

Check odds here: https://goo.gl/dVwAAb

Odds as seen on ESPN Chalk: https://goo.gl/ji6GJZ